Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 20 Sep 2023. Before it settled, across the 104 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 71.5% on 2 Nov 2023 and the lowest 1.6% on 31 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 1.6% on 31 Dec 2023. $11.04K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 104 points, 20 Sep 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2023 | 54.5% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Pioneer 757C | Yes | 40 |
| Hudini | No | 2.47 |
| kaizes | Yes | 1.27 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both a Bitcoin Spot ETF and an Ethereum Futures ETF receive SEC approval in the US by December 31, 2023, ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/parlay-us-bitcoin-spot-and-eth-futures-etf-this-year
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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