
Resolved No on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 43.5%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 4 Mar 2026, the highest close was 65.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 56.5% on 4 Mar 2026. $57.13K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 7:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 4 Mar 2026, chart shows 50%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 65.5% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jsk-jhd | Yes | 9.07K |
| duderr | Yes | 1.1K |
| Violet Horizon D04F | Yes | 1K |
| mamulikk | Yes | 434.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Cambria raise exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://presale.cambria.gg/ If the sale is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution. If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cambria-public-sale-total-commitments
| 5atka | Yes | 200 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 99.86 |
| NobodyBK | Yes | 71.81 |
| tiancs | Yes | 50 |
| adspokposs | Yes | 45.01 |
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