Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.5%. Yes opened at 17% on 23 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 98.5% on 1 Oct 2026 and the low 17% on 23 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 75.5% on 29 Sep 2026. $2.82K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 23 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | 17.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 98.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CosmicCedar | No | 1K |
| Glicha | No | 186.8 |
| XWECHAT | Yes | 91.67 |
| infoowl | No | 80 |
| .Menthe | No | 49.98 |
| Jumbajuz | No | 38.12 |
| chamel999 | No | 29.15 |
| chainFish | No | 27.5 |
| a5533 | No | 20.09 |
| TENETENET | No | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits on the specified date, by 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences. Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered. An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published on the specified date, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945. The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-resets-codex-weekly-limit-onptptpt
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