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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 3.03K | $0.474 | $1.27K | -$164.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.937 | $46.85 | 55m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 417.17 |
| $0.842 |
| $381.71 |
| +$30.61 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 420 | $0.750 | $312.9 | -$2.1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 305.05 | $0.793 | $266.92 | +$24.91 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 274.16 | $0.806 | $233.03 | +$12.06 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 265.56 | $0.864 | $229.71 | +$0.22 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 243.02 | $0.431 | $190.77 | +$86.02 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 256 | $0.610 | $161.15 | +$4.99 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 360.22 | $0.622 | $151.29 | -$72.66 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 190 | $0.724 | $132.05 | -$5.59 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.520 | $95 | -$9 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 211.99 | $0.460 | $89.46 | -$7.96 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 545.71 | $0.174 | $87.31 | -$7.45 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 300 | $0.320 | $84 | -$12 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8? | No | 116.86 | $0.498 | $60.18 | +$2.01 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 12? | No | 110 | $0.309 | $53.9 | +$19.92 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 621 | $0.105 | $52.79 | -$12.52 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 11? | No | 106 | $0.316 | $49.82 | +$16.36 |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | Yes | 50 | $0.937 | $49.7 | +$2.85 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 52 | $0.850 | $44.46 | +$0.26 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 10? | No | 100 | $0.160 | $42.5 | +$26.5 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13? | No | 100 | $0.320 | $41 | +$9 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 114.99 | $0.287 | $36.8 | +$3.75 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9? | Yes | 40 | $0.900 | $35.2 | -$0.8 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 84.6 | $0.591 | $31.35 | -$18.65 |
| sell |
| 29.99 |
| $0.550 |
| $16.49 |
| 1h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 1h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | sell | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | 1h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 1h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | sell | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | 1h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | sell | 50 | $0.506 | $25.29 | 1h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?No | sell | 227 | $0.104 | $23.58 | 2h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | buy | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 66.95 | $0.860 | $57.58 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 228 | $0.850 | $193.8 | 14h ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 243.01 | $0.780 | $189.55 | 14h ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.920 | $91.99 | 14h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.650 | $117 | 14h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 5?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | 14h ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 43.22 | $0.860 | $37.17 | 15h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | 15h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 15h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | buy | 20 | $0.465 | $9.3 | 15h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | buy | 50 | $0.413 | $20.65 | 15h ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 114 | $0.780 | $88.92 | 16h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 10?No | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | 23h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?No | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | 23h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?No | buy | 92 | $0.130 | $11.96 | 23h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | buy | 0.91 | $0.170 | $0.15 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?No | buy | 75 | $0.120 | $9 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | buy | 43 | $0.170 | $7.31 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No | buy | 31 | $0.160 | $4.96 | 1d ago |
 Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 95.59 | $0.950 | $90.82 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?No | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 152.08 | $0.862 | $131.07 | 1d ago |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | sell | 156.68 | $0.475 | $74.46 | 1d ago |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.943 | $188.61 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 12?No | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 594.15 | $0.060 | $35.65 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?No | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.860 | $34.4 | 2d ago |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | sell | 114.79 | $0.971 | $111.48 | 2d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 348 | $0.850 | $295.8 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 7?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 2d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?No | buy | 84 | $0.270 | $22.68 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?No | buy | 12 | $0.290 | $3.48 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13?No | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 12?No | buy | 100 | $0.318 | $31.78 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 11?No | buy | 100 | $0.318 | $31.78 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 11?No | buy | 6 | $0.280 | $1.68 | 2d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.580 | $17.98 | 2d ago |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 121 | $0.910 | $110.11 | 3d ago |