Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 13 Dec 2025, the highest close was 74% on 12 Dec 2025 and the lowest 5% on 13 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 69 points down, to 5% on 13 Dec 2025. $8.99K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 14, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 13 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 10.5% |
| 13 Dec 2025 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tiancs | Yes | 1K |
| MyLige | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 873 |
| Jorra | Yes | 322.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'March 31, 2026' market 'Maduro out by...?' (https://polymarket.com/event/maduro-out-in-2025?) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 2:00 PM and 5:59 PM ET on December 12, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'March 31, 2026' market 'Maduro out by...?', which can be viewed using the bar chart on XXX or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a specific four-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/odds-of-maduro-out-by-march-31-on-friday
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 299 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 268 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 249 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 204 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 168 |
| badisita | Yes | 162.11 |
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