Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 71% on 30 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 98% on 1 Dec 2025 and the lowest 71% on 30 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 98% on 1 Dec 2025. $13.21K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | 71.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ckzvn | No | 250 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 150 |
| cyfra | No | 140.68 |
| sarevok | No | 72.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?' (https://polymarket.com/event/honduras-presidential-election) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 2-hour period between 4:00 PM and 5:59 PM ET on November 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-nasralla-wins-honduras-presidential-election-50 or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 2-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Resolution source: https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-nasralla-wins-honduras-presidential-election-50
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/odds-nasralla-wins-honduras-presidential-election-sunday-4-6-pm-et
| sniper8888 | No | 15.6 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 12 |
| moneylikeb | Yes | 1.22 |
| milize | Yes | 0.01 |
| voenkommog | Yes | 0.01 |
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