Analytics
Yes is at 86.5%, up 23 points from 63.5% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 63.5% on 25 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 86.5% on 30 Oct 2026.
20-39 is the favourite of the 11 outcomes in “NYC Mayor # posts October 27 - November 3, 2026?”, ahead of 40-59 at 11.5%.
$1.79K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.04K since listing. The order book holds $300.46, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 93 trades, $1.37K bought Yes and $243.27 bought No.
The largest Yes position is molodoyy with 603 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 544. Ten wallets hold 86.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 6:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 63.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 86.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| molodoyy | Yes | 603.15 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 544.02 |
| chew-it | Yes | 283.13 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 27, 12:00 PM ET and November 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-october-27-november-3-2026
| exboyfriendjustsentit |
| Yes |
| 233.99 |
| rocky42006 | No | 159.84 |
| Stupendous-Warning | No | 140 |
| cloverpmq2 | No | 113.81 |
| gsmc | Yes | 112.04 |
| Carabao | No | 59.55 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 56.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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