Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 88.5% on 20 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2026 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 27 Mar 2026 and the lowest 87.5% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 93.5% on 2 Feb 2026. $145.16K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 6:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 88.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RetiredHand | No | 106K |
| Mellow-Stag | No | 1.16K |
| UriahMarner | No | 688 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair - Jerome Powell federally charged - Jerome Powell arrested Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-jerome-powell-edition-394
| No |
| 523.48 |
| UnaMore | No | 489 |
| predictionponyft | No | 450 |
| CarlCoverdale | No | 307.12 |
| predictionsbyp | No | 273.33 |
| Staid-Purse | No | 246.36 |
| Clever-Ruffle | No | 195.16 |
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