Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.400 | $187 | +$107 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes | sell | 113.21 | $0.006 | $0.69 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.67K |
| $0.040 |
| $66.93 |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.57K | $0.028 | $101.2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 130.01 | $0.050 | $6.47 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 334 | $0.079 | $26.39 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.45K | $0.046 | $113.93 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes | buy | 8.3K | $0.034 | $286.46 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.021 | $51.2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.46K | $0.009 | $32.12 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.210 | $31.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.745 | $1.01K | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?Yes | buy | 75.99 | $0.300 | $22.8 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.145 | $334.57 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.720 | $1.71K | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 208 | $0.710 | $147.68 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 156 | $0.832 | $129.79 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 535.03 | $0.779 | $416.83 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 424.31 | $0.982 | $416.84 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 306.75 | $0.700 | $214.73 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 282.53 | $0.760 | $214.72 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 473.79 | $0.700 | $331.65 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.79K | $0.028 | $51.03 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.8K | $0.024 | $160.62 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.690 | $812.64 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 898.1 | $0.905 | $812.64 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 81.58 | $0.680 | $55.47 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.693 | $55.47 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 597.16 | $0.680 | $406.07 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 128.92 | $0.175 | $22.56 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 793.95 | $0.090 | $71.49 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.016 | $16 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 382 | $0.175 | $66.84 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.341 | $34.13 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.670 | $670 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 498 | $0.670 | $333.66 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.325 | $22.74 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 400.1 | $0.649 | $259.75 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 281 | $0.378 | $106.35 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 424.31 | $0.810 | $343.69 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.32K | $0.295 | $979.93 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.452 | $90.3 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'DEI' or 'diversity, equity, and inclusion' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 87.48 | $0.676 | $59.11 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.260 | $78 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 18.89 | $0.470 | $8.88 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?No | buy | 19 | $0.690 | $13.11 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.992 | $297.6 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.985 | $49.25 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | Feb 1, 2025 |