Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 56 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 21 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 59.5% on 23 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 80.5% on 29 Jan 2026.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 5:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 21 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 65.5% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Speedy-Automation | No | 2.83K |
| yuuuge | No | 1.19K |
| BornAgain26 | No | 999.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve immediately to “No” if any of the following conditions are met at any point by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - The United States Federal Reserve increases or decreases the upper bound of the Target Federal Funds Rate. - The Bank of Japan increases or decreases the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate. - The European Central Bank increases or decreases the upper bound of the deposit facility rate. - The Bank of Canada increases or decreases the target for the overnight rate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing-Ever-Happens-Interest-Rates-e9f9058457.jpg
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-interest-rates
| No |
| 887.89 |
| prince-of-moravia | No | 577.55 |
| jxjxj | No | 277.78 |
| Keen-Pilaf | No | 200 |
| 5atka | No | 200 |
| janpc | No | 148.92 |
| Stevenolson7 | No | 122.22 |
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