Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 306.17 | $0.530 | $52.05 | -$110.22 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 413.6 | $0.220 | $90.99 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 413.6 |
| $0.220 |
| $31.02 |
| -$59.97 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No| buy |
| 107 |
| $0.320 |
| $34.24 |
| Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.690 | $73.83 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesNo | buy | 155 | $0.090 | $13.95 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesNo | buy | 38.4 | $0.100 | $3.84 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesNo | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $99.57 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 306.17 | $0.530 | $162.27 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 430 | $0.037 | $15.75 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 296 | $0.042 | $12.43 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by January 31?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.810 | $73.71 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 125.51 | $0.950 | $119.25 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Google Gemini ParlayNo | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Starmer out in 2025?No | buy | 55 | $0.987 | $54.29 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionNo | buy | 55 | $0.033 | $1.82 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?No | buy | 80 | $0.889 | $71.12 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.966 | $193.2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | sell | 92.64 | $0.022 | $2.04 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | buy | 34.47 | $0.390 | $13.44 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | buy | 58.17 | $0.370 | $21.52 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.001 | $0.31 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.001 | $0.31 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.019 | $6.02 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.960 | $297.6 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Was 9/11 an inside job?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.989 | $4.31 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 121 | $0.880 | $106.48 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 150.1 | $0.840 | $126.08 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 217.46 | $0.063 | $13.7 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 293 | $0.090 | $26.37 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4700 on August 22?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.174 | $78.3 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4600 and $4700 on August 22?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.465 | $209.25 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $4600 on August 22?No | buy | 450 | $0.307 | $138.15 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?No | buy | 221 | $0.600 | $132.6 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | buy | 28.24 | $0.997 | $28.16 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 336 | $0.870 | $292.32 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 336 | $0.120 | $40.32 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $111,000 on June 3?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.021 | $6.3 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $111K on June 3?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.045 | $13.46 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on June 3?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.140 | $42 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.780 | $234 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 355 | $0.530 | $188.15 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 355 | $0.190 | $67.45 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 6–12%?Yes | buy | 355 | $0.120 | $42.6 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 12–18%?Yes | buy | 355 | $0.090 | $31.95 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by over 18%?Yes | buy | 355 | $0.060 | $21.3 | May 16, 2025 |
| Was 9/11 an inside job?No | buy | 4 | $0.958 | $3.83 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?Yes | buy | 353 | $0.449 | $158.61 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in April?Yes | buy | 353 | $0.280 | $98.84 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in April?Yes | buy | 353 | $0.150 | $52.95 | Apr 15, 2025 |