Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 24 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 29 Oct 2025 and the low 2.6% on 27 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 97 points up, to 100% on 29 Oct 2025. $57.55K traded over the market's life.
85 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 24 Oct 2025 – 29 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | 7.5% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| napoleon123 | No | 4.26K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.61K |
| CarmineJT | No | 943.51 |
| odc1977 | No | 333.33 |
| 3123ff | No | 283.58 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 137 |
| RealLordMiles | No | 133.87 |
| azr | No | 102.15 |
| 23re | No | 78.87 |
| Lotrma | No | 47.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-launch-by-october-31
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