Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.275 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.69 |
| $0.130 |
| $1 |
| Dec 10, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.77 | $0.690 | $6.05 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.995 | $6.22 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 17.99 | $0.278 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.049 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by November 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by October 31?No | buy | 943.51 | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Amazon acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good – The Soundtrack' debut at No. 1 on the Billboard 200?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.25 | $0.123 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.094 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.118 | $2 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 25+ times during speech on October 14?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.973 | $17.69 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.967 | $13.06 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago by December 31?No | buy | 94 | $0.050 | $4.7 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 John Brennan arrested by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 US strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Mike Bloomberg endorse Cuomo?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 James Comey arrested by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by December 31?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Oct 4, 2025 |