Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 8% on 6 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 11.5% on 11 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 27 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 11.5% on 11 Jan 2025. $27.57K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 7:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 6 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2025 | 8.0% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nigel Farage announces he is resigning as head of Reform UK or otherwise ceases to be head of Reform UK for any length of time between January 4, 2025 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nigel Farage announces he is resigning but remains on in this position to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nigel Farage or the Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nigel-farage-out-as-leader-of-reform-before-march
| Yes |
| 12.5 |
| geinagorin | No | 0.02 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | No | 0.02 |
| Euan | Yes | 0.02 |
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