Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.2%. Yes opened at 68% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2025 to 10 Oct 2025, the highest close was 98.2% on 10 Oct 2025 and the lowest 43% on 8 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 94.9% on 9 Oct 2025. $49.43K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 7 Oct 2025 – 10 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 68.0% |
| 10 Oct 2025 | 98.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wisser | No | 476.77 |
| cynical-reason | No | 418.3 |
| lissartter | No | 226.35 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Prime Minister of France, succeeding Sébastien Lecornu, is appointed by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote. The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-french-prime-minister-appointed-by-476
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| marleydq1 | No | 9.8 |
| pertex | No | 8.82 |
| pavvzyk | Yes | 0.03 |
| prostoLUCK | Yes | 0.02 |
| BASSATS01 | Yes | 0.01 |
| BOOMER.CME | Yes | 0 |
