Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 32%. Yes opened at 54% on 13 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2025 to 22 Sep 2025, the highest close was 54% on 13 Sep 2025 and the lowest 24.5% on 15 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 44.5% on 17 Sep 2025. $23.77K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 24, 12:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 13 Sep 2025 – 22 Sep 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | 54.0% |
| 22 Sep 2025 | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ItamarBleinad | No | 76.92 |
| Boyceta | No | 31.25 |
| Bsfd100 | No | 20 |
| JoE | No | 19.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jair Bolsonaro was recently found guilty by 4 of 5 justices on the Brazilian supreme court in charges related to a coup attempt. Donald Trump has referred to the trial as a "witch hunt" and implied that sanctions could be leveled as a consequence. You can read more about that here: https://www.politico.com/news/2025/09/11/bolsonaro-supreme-court-conviction-00558165 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against any Brazilian Supreme Federal Court Justice between September 11, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions on the country or broader institutions (e.g., sanctions that target Brazil, the Brazilian government, etc.) will not qualify, however sanctions that target the Brazilian Supreme Court in particular will. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing qualifying sanctions within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-us-sanctions-on-brazilian-supreme-court-justices-by-september-30
| msen | No | 9.23 |
| mmmmhjff | No | 2.08 |
| ibruno | Yes | 2.04 |
| Shameful-Bee | No | 2.04 |
| hurse | No | 1.54 |
| Odor | No | 1.45 |
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