Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 109.27 | $0.915 | $101.73 | +$1.73 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 148.24 | $0.999 | $148.09 | 4d ago |
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| Yes |
| 206.21 |
| $0.485 |
| $89.7 |
| -$10.3 |
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | No | 87.85 | $0.569 | $76.43 | +$26.43 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 60.31 | $0.829 | $58.47 | +$8.47 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 75.87 | $0.659 | $34.86 | -$15.14 |
| buy |
| 52.25 |
| $0.957 |
| $50 |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 5.08 | $0.640 | $3.25 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No | buy | 87.85 | $0.569 | $50 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 50.57 | $0.749 | $37.88 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?Yes | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 60.31 | $0.829 | $50 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 75.87 | $0.659 | $50 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | Mar 7, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.69 | $0.949 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 75.76 | $0.660 | $50 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?Yes | buy | 71.54 | $0.796 | $56.95 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 54.52 | $0.912 | $49.72 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 185.27 | $0.039 | $7.23 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 189.76 | $0.510 | $96.78 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | sell | 54.94 | $0.870 | $47.8 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 54.34 | $0.901 | $48.98 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?Yes | buy | 204.31 | $0.727 | $148.53 | Dec 3, 2025 |
GPT ads by December 31?No | sell | 55.19 | $0.909 | $50.19 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?No | sell | 52.08 | $0.929 | $48.38 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?No | sell | 57.43 | $0.870 | $49.96 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?Yes | buy | 528.82 | $0.693 | $366.39 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 223.08 | $0.930 | $207.46 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?No | sell | 52.08 | $0.970 | $50.52 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 4.67 | $0.890 | $4.16 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | sell | 57.6 | $0.901 | $51.9 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.890 | $52.35 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?Yes | buy | 422.95 | $0.650 | $274.72 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 42.22 | $0.953 | $40.24 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 56.81 | $0.930 | $52.84 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 22.83 | $0.960 | $21.92 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Trump out as President in 2025?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.986 | $51.9 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?No | sell | 56.17 | $0.987 | $55.44 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 53.19 | $0.985 | $52.39 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?Yes | buy | 651.07 | $0.643 | $418.66 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?No | sell | 54.96 | $0.968 | $53.22 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?Yes | sell | 52.53 | $0.967 | $50.82 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Russian strike on Poland by December 31?No | sell | 56.17 | $0.972 | $54.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 97.42 | $0.914 | $89.07 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?Yes | sell | 110.28 | $0.970 | $106.94 | Dec 3, 2025 |
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | sell | 106.7 | $0.600 | $64.02 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 274.55 | $0.440 | $120.8 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 114.94 | $0.964 | $110.8 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?No | sell | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |