Analytics
Resolved GL-PvdA on 3 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had GL-PvdA at 99.4%. The GL-PvdA side opened at 45.5% on 4 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2025 to 3 Nov 2025, the highest close was 100% on 1 Nov 2025 and the lowest 38% on 21 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 57.5% on 22 Oct 2025. $57.09K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the GL-PvdA price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 4 Oct 2025 – 3 Nov 2025
| Observed | GL-PvdA price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | 45.5% |
| 3 Nov 2025 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fearless-Wrench | CDA | 2K |
| lissartter | CDA | 718.38 |
| TimeTraveler | CDA | 300 |
| Madurod | CDA | 225 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held on 29 October 2025. This market will resolve to "GL-PvdA" if, after the election, the number of seats held by GroenLinks–PvdA in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by the Christian Democratic Appeal. This market will resolve to "CDA" if, after the election, the number of seats held by the Christian Democratic Appeal in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by GroenLinks–PvdA. If both parties hold the same number of seats or if voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective parties. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/netherlands-parliamentary-election-gl-pvda-vs-cda
| DonaldoJTrumpo | CDA | 166.67 |
| Dutchmaster88 | CDA | 100 |
| hinooosss | CDA | 71.84 |
| 0xNewt | CDA | 49.1 |
| turelucas | CDA | 26.8 |
| Nervous-Attention | CDA | 24.01 |
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