Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 195.12 | $0.410 | $71.22 | -$8.78 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 34.18 | $0.790 | $27 | 3d ago |
|
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.500 |
| $50.5 |
| +$0.5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 100 | $0.500 | $49.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 36.59 | $0.820 | $34.66 | +$4.66 |
 Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 40 | $0.920 | $33.8 | -$3 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 34.18 | $0.790 | $25.12 | -$1.88 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.150 | $3.75 | -$11.25 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.630 | $3.25 | -$6.75 |
| buy |
| 195.12 |
| $0.410 |
| $80 |
| 12d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 82.42 | $0.999 | $82.34 | 12d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 27.47 | $0.982 | $26.98 | 21d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETDown | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | buy | 14.84 | $0.594 | $8.81 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?Yes | buy | 12.24 | $0.490 | $6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.412 | $48.47 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 121.9 | $0.902 | $110 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.227 | $10.32 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.390 | $25 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 4.16 | $0.961 | $4 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.085 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.084 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.054 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 25.54 | $0.910 | $23.24 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 15.88 | $0.825 | $13.1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 31.77 | $0.787 | $25 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 321 | $0.012 | $4 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 21.03 | $0.992 | $20.86 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 21.03 | $0.951 | $20 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 25.82 | $0.990 | $25.56 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 25.83 | $0.968 | $25 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 37.02 | $0.800 | $29.62 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 25?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Jensen Huang say "Vera Rubin" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes | buy | 15.16 | $0.989 | $15 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?Yes | buy | 11.07 | $0.994 | $11 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?Yes | buy | 15.88 | $0.921 | $14.63 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 14.48 | $0.932 | $13.49 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 108.11 | $0.740 | $80 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 65.36 | $0.918 | $60 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 84.51 | $0.710 | $60 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on December 3?Down | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 3?Up | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Dec 3, 2025 |