Analytics
Resolved BBB on 3 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had BBB at 98%. The DENK side opened at 50% on 25 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 61.5% on 26 Oct 2025 and the low 2% on 3 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 3% on 31 Oct 2025. $11.11K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the DENK price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 25 Oct 2025 – 3 Nov 2025
| Observed | DENK price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 3 Nov 2025 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dutchmaster88 | DENK | 317.51 |
| Vicious-Fixture | DENK | 272.76 |
| lissartter | DENK | 122.51 |
| Arid-Beancurd | DENK | 25.64 |
| Impish-Portrait | BBB | 13.32 |
| dex-cex | DENK | 13.04 |
| Preballin | DENK | 10 |
| spirtx | DENK | 2.2 |
| mikenaka | DENK | 1.96 |
| zveroboy262 | DENK | 1.96 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held on 29 October 2025. This market will resolve to "DENK" if, after the election, the number of seats held by DENK in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by the Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB). This market will resolve to "BBB" if, after the election, the number of seats held by the Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB) in the House of Representatives is higher than that held by DENK. If both parties hold the same number of seats or if voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective parties. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/netherlands-parliamentary-election-denk-vs-bbb
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