Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.83K | $0.001 | $1.83 | 3d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 2 |
| $0.999 |
| $2 |
| 3d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.003 | $5.5 | 19d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 4.38 | $0.540 | $2.37 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.988 | $1.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 4.39 | $0.570 | $2.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in July 2026?No | sell | 1.95 | $0.979 | $1.91 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in July 2026?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.973 | $1.9 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 1.37 | $0.985 | $1.35 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.954 | $1.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.8 | $0.673 | $2.56 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.944 | $1.3 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.81 | $0.604 | $2.3 | May 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 1.73 | $0.810 | $1.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.986 | $1.99 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 472.72 | $0.006 | $2.84 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.840 | $2.1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 472.73 | $0.011 | $5.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 9.81 | $0.530 | $5.2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.81 | $0.540 | $5.3 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.4K | $0.001 | $3.4 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?Yes | sell | 3.15 | $0.470 | $1.48 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.760 | $2.4 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 6.72 | $0.540 | $3.63 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.73 | $0.550 | $3.7 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 7.95 | $0.800 | $6.36 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 7.96 | $0.490 | $3.9 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.979 | $1.96 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Netherlands Parliamentary Election: DENK vs BBBDENK | buy | 13.04 | $0.460 | $6 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.009 | $20 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?Yes | sell | 18.14 | $0.792 | $14.36 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?Yes | buy | 18.14 | $0.937 | $17 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 3.08 | $0.543 | $1.67 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.551 | $1.7 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.320 | $0.97 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.022 | $1.23 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.025 | $1.4 | May 9, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 13.63 | $0.090 | $1.23 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.110 | $1.5 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 82.75 | $0.028 | $2.32 | Feb 2, 2025 |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 82.76 | $0.029 | $2.4 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will AS Roma win the Serie A?Yes | sell | 775 | $0.003 | $2.33 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will AS Roma win the Serie A?Yes | buy | 775 | $0.004 | $3.1 | Jan 17, 2025 |