Analytics
The Thunder side is at 45.5%, about where the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the price held at 45.5%.
It is one of 65 markets under “Nuggets vs. Thunder”.
$47.07K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $128.08K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 181 trades, $9.13K bought Thunder and $14.17K bought Nuggets; the largest was a $5.72K buy of Nuggets at 52.0¢.
The largest Thunder position is chizidahu with 13.7K shares; the largest Nuggets position is ArielFilipino with 15.9K. Ten wallets hold 83.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 1:38 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Thunder price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–52%
| Observed | Thunder price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArielFilipino | Nuggets | 15.9K |
| chizidahu | Thunder | 13.7K |
| monkeymashingkeyboard | Nuggets | 10.55K |
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-den-okc-2026-10-22
52 more markets, none above 55.0%.
| 102l | Thunder | 8.05K |
| ff66868 | Thunder | 7.5K |
| mooseborzoii | Nuggets | 7.18K |
| 739633786 | Thunder | 2.39K |
| fhfdj541459 | Thunder | 2.21K |
| attempt-most | Nuggets | 2K |
| dv-pm | Thunder | 1.91K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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