Analytics
Resolved Thunder on 23 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thunder at 59.5%. The Thunder side opened at 58% on 21 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 59.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 58% on 21 Oct 2026. $78.73K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 4:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Thunder price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 52%–64%
| Observed | Thunder price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 58.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ethanaz | Nuggets | 14.33K |
| janeju1029 | Nuggets | 1.04K |
| Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir | Nuggets | 377.34 |
| JasenBB | Nuggets | 299.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-den-okc-2026-10-22
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Breakable-Resist | Nuggets | 200 |
| CAcap | Nuggets | 194.1 |
| RoadTo1MillionUsd | Nuggets | 192.31 |
| antec | Nuggets | 132.5 |
| Azure Lynx 1A75 | Nuggets | 106.38 |
| Murky-Fallingout | Nuggets | 76.25 |
