Analytics
The Thunder side is at 54%, up 3.5 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 22 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 19 Oct 2026.
It is one of 66 markets under “Nuggets vs. Thunder”.
$15.45K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $15.47K since listing. The order book holds $190.18K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 177 trades, $4.12K bought Thunder and $2.88K bought Nuggets; the largest was a $1.51K buy of Thunder at 53.0¢.
The largest Thunder position is nigiri99 with 2.8K shares; the largest Nuggets position is Flaznorp with 3.6K. Ten wallets hold 79.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 4:26 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Thunder price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Thunder price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 54.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flaznorp | Nuggets | 3.57K |
| nigiri99 | Thunder | 2.85K |
| attempt-most | Nuggets | 2.1K |
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-den-okc-2026-10-22
53 more markets, none above 56.5%.
| Herdonia |
| Thunder |
| 1.29K |
| HomeRunHazard | Nuggets | 1.25K |
| Murky-Fallingout | Thunder | 1K |
| NM-P | Thunder | 976.69 |
| QWUERHAIUKSJNFSNCF | Thunder | 942.66 |
| ferdinand2 | Nuggets | 621.29 |
| button-clicker | Thunder | 605.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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