Analytics
Resolved Under on 5 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 85.5%. The Over side opened at 43% on 1 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 5 Jul 2026, the highest close was 43% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 14.5% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 23% on 4 Jul 2026. $5.43K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 1:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 5 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 43.0% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xRocket666 | Over | 100 |
| dropmeplease | Over | 80 |
| .Menthe | Over | 50 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Over | 35.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If the cumulative total of HDBs (hot dogs and buns) eaten is 705 or more between both the men’s and women’s field at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest, this market will resolve to “Over”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is cancelled, postponed after July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined HDB eaten total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-total-hdbs-ou-704pt8-20260626152700921
| mmmbop | Over | 20 |
| triklozoid | Over | 15 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Over | 5.01 |
| rocketcrypto | Over | 5 |
| EmeraldEdge | Under | 0.01 |
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