Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Transgender" 3+ times during RNC Convention? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $84 | +$3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.800 | $4.1 | 4m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.690 |
| $35.75 |
| +$1.25 |
 Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 40 | $0.450 | $26.4 | +$8.4 |
| Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 50 | $0.320 | $14 | -$2 |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 80 | $0.275 | $10.4 | -$11.6 |
| Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 50 | $0.380 | $9.25 | -$9.75 |
 Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention? | No | 20 | $0.370 | $8.7 | +$1.3 |
 Will "By Any Means" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 15 | $0.530 | $7.65 | -$0.3 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" during remarks at the Pentagon? | No | 20 | $0.410 | $7.6 | -$0.6 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 7 | $0.840 | $6.63 | +$0.75 |
| Will JD Vance say "Wife" during RNC Convention? | No | 20 | $0.370 | $5.4 | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention? | No | 5.13 | $0.800 | $4.36 | +$0.26 |
| Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 5 | $0.580 | $3.53 | +$0.63 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 10 | $0.650 | $2.9 | -$3.6 |
| Will "Hacks" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 8.62 | $0.348 | $2.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ? | Yes | 36 | $0.258 | $2.34 | -$6.96 |
 Will "Runner" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 2.14 | $0.670 | $1.64 | +$0.2 |
| Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 2 | $0.320 | $1.15 | +$0.51 |
| buy |
| 5.86 |
| $0.980 |
| $5.74 |
| 12h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.258 | $9.3 | 13h ago |
| Will "By Any Means" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | 16h ago |
| Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 7 | $0.840 | $5.88 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during remarks at Steel Across America?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during remarks at Steel Across America?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump say "Honor" 2+ times during remarks at Steel Across America?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.720 | $0.04 | 2d ago |
| Will "Hacks" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.348 | $3 | 2d ago |
 Will "Onslaught" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 3d ago |
| Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 3d ago |
| Will "Onslaught" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 5d ago |
| Will "Onslaught" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 5d ago |
| Will "Onslaught" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.985 | $14.77 | 5d ago |
| Will "Onslaught" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 21.9 | $0.991 | $21.69 | 5d ago |
| Will "Onslaught" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 5d ago |
| Will "Onslaught" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | 5d ago |
 Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.268 | $13.4 | 5d ago |
| Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.386 | $19.3 | 5d ago |
| Will "By Any Means" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | 5d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | sell | 29.39 | $0.050 | $1.47 | 6d ago |
| Will "Onslaught" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.060 | $0.3 | 6d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?No | sell | 30 | $0.997 | $29.91 | 6d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | 7d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 45.55 | $0.022 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.998 | $24.95 | 8d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 8d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 8d ago |
 Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?No | sell | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.067 | $1.34 | 8d ago |
| Will "Onslaught" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 9d ago |
 Will Trump say "Middleman" or "Middle Man" during healthcare affordability announcement?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | 9d ago |
 Will "Finding Emily" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | 10d ago |
 Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 42 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 80 | $0.770 | $61.6 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?No | sell | 7.06 | $0.971 | $6.86 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.108 | $0 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 21.09 | $0.110 | $2.32 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?No | sell | 45 | $0.200 | $9 | 12d ago |
| Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 37.34 | $0.530 | $19.79 | 14d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.141 | $2.11 | 14d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.070 | $5.6 | 14d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.142 | $8.88 | 14d ago |
 Will "Buddy" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 50 | $0.074 | $3.7 | 14d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 234.81 | $0.021 | $4.87 | 15d ago |
| Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.023 | $0.8 | 15d ago |
| Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.021 | $1.23 | 15d ago |
| Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.021 | $2.99 | 15d ago |