Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 93% on 19 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 1 Oct 2024 and the lowest 93% on 19 Sep 2024. $33.82K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 19 Sep 2024 – 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2024 | 93.0% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wangxiaoer | No | 393.35 |
| Alin. | No | 222.45 |
| klmftr | Yes | 0.11 |
| dreiehalbtusigmietiweisch | Yes | 0.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk remains in the number 1 spot on the Forbes Real Time Billionaires List without interruption between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Forbes Real Time Billionaires List (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#38a371363d78). If this resolution source becomes unavailable before this market's end and remains unavailable through October 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#34e27d763d78
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/musk-richest-man-through-september
| dfswrsms | Yes | 0.09 |
| Deltyuufews | Yes | 0.06 |
| kaktus | Yes | 0.06 |
| Levier | Yes | 0.06 |
| fkvsxre | Yes | 0.04 |
| Arnulfor | Yes | 0.03 |
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