Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.975 | $1.2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.24 |
| $0.979 |
| $1.21 |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.875 | $1.03 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.988 | $1.94 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.820 | $1.35 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.840 | $1.13 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 14.81 | $0.999 | $14.8 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.900 | $1.22 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.996 | $1.17 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.996 | $1.17 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.87 | $0.650 | $1.22 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.660 | $1.24 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in December 2025?No | sell | 19.65 | $0.997 | $19.59 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in December 2025?No | buy | 19.66 | $0.998 | $19.62 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on November 28, 2025?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.999 | $1.29 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.840 | $1.17 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will stablecoins hit $400B by December 31?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.968 | $1.09 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will stablecoins hit $400B by December 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.968 | $1.1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.997 | $1.66 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.999 | $1.66 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.940 | $1.14 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.840 | $1.02 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Up Only podcast released by November 30?No | sell | 3.83 | $0.280 | $1.07 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Up Only podcast released by November 30?No | buy | 3.83 | $0.360 | $1.38 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.980 | $1.21 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.830 | $1.16 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.964 | $1.05 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $190 in October?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.630 | $1.03 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.840 | $1.04 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.971 | $1.01 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.690 | $1.19 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 2025 August hottest on record?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.992 | $1.11 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.993 | $1.58 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.983 | $1.32 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.920 | $1.09 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| 2025 August hottest on record?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.990 | $1.11 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 6?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.880 | $1.23 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No | sell | 4.42 | $0.989 | $4.37 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No | buy | 4.42 | $0.977 | $4.32 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 2.72 | $0.840 | $2.28 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.929 | $1.38 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Jew" this week?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.900 | $1.39 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.967 | $1.43 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Iran nuclear test in 2025?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.890 | $1.42 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.810 | $1.11 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom recalled before July?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.983 | $1.55 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Iran nuclear test in 2025?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.920 | $1.47 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.988 | $1.43 | Jun 12, 2025 |