Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.1% on 14 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 31 Jul 2026. $23.59K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 2.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gods-eye | Yes | 4.96K |
| Misty Vector 314B | Yes | 1.52K |
| Mikelious | Yes | 833.22 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mohammed-ghalibaf-out-as-speaker-of-iran-parliament-byptptpt-20260709235401297
| Hsalm | Yes | 770 |
| Nanamo613 | Yes | 54.91 |
| Nutty-Frigate | Yes | 49.77 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 45.1 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| acc32 | Yes | 1.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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