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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 85.71 | $0.070 | $5.57 | -$0.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | 7d ago |
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| Yes |
| 625 |
| $0.008 |
| $4.69 |
| -$0.31 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 33.13 | $0.080 | $2.15 | -$0.5 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.260 | $1.73 | -$0.27 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $1.63 | -$0.38 |
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | Yes | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | $0 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.85 | $0.146 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 20.01 | $0.050 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 42.86 |
| $0.070 |
| $3 |
| 7d ago |
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 7d ago |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | 7d ago |
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 7d ago |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | 7d ago |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.13 | $0.080 | $2.65 | 7d ago |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.146 | $1 | 7d ago |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 7d ago |
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | 7d ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | 7d ago |
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.77 | $0.037 | $1.86 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.468 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 7.52 | $0.133 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | sell | 56.09 | $0.090 | $5.05 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 223.33 | $0.012 | $2.68 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 20.7 | $0.182 | $3.77 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes | buy | 12.7 | $0.100 | $1.27 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 323.88 | $0.004 | $1.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20.7 | $0.142 | $2.94 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes | sell | 25.75 | $0.120 | $3.09 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 25.75 | $0.120 | $3.09 | Jun 13, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 17.75 | $0.180 | $3.2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.76 | $0.290 | $5.15 | May 6, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026?No | buy | 108.69 | $0.092 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?No | buy | 34.64 | $0.289 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?No | buy | 34.64 | $0.289 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?No | buy | 49.09 | $0.204 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.029 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 173.33 | $0.150 | $26 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 844.73 | $0.047 | $40 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.060 | $25 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 20.83 | $0.962 | $20.04 | Feb 28, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 73.17 | $0.400 | $29.27 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 88.2 | $0.227 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.78 | $0.223 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 56.1 | $0.535 | $30 | Feb 18, 2026 |