Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 152 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 28 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 5 May 2026 and the lowest 4% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 12% on 14 Aug 2026. $7.96K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 1:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 152 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 28 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 25.5% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 325 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-4-homer-game-in-2026
| Ethical-Bamboo |
| Yes |
| 14 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| Infinite-Vise-Wombat | Yes | 2.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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