Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 6.5% on 1 Aug 2026. $6.04K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 12:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/meloni-out-as-prime-minister-of-italy-by-june-30
New to prediction markets?
| adriaantjeandbassie | No | 208.84 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 178.19 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 125 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| ma99 | Yes | 100 |
| akunai | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
