Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.8%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 5 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 5 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 30.5% on 5 Feb 2026 and the lowest 2% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 19% on 6 Feb 2026. $9.4K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 5 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | 30.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 10.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Martin Nowak ceases to be a Harvard professor for any period of time between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nowak's resignation, removal, or other formal breaking of ties with Harvard before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Martin Nowak or Harvard, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/martin-nowak-out-by-february-28
| Perko2 | Yes | 36.36 |
| SCRAT89 | Yes | 35.71 |
| Wasteful-Notoriety | Yes | 30 |
| Charizard420 | Yes | 24.95 |
| JustBot2 | Yes | 20 |
| paas2 | Yes | 8.36 |
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