Analytics
Yes is at 7.4%, down 39 points from 46% when the market opened on 27 Sep 2026.
Across the 29 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 4% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.6%; a month before, 28.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 28.5% on 28 Sep 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Manchester City punishment announced by...?”.
$3.81K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $14.72K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 78 trades, $148.1 bought Yes and $1.18K bought No.
The largest Yes position is balthazar with 733 shares; the largest No position is 0xdc3E831cad with 340. Ten wallets hold 82% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 10 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 46.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 7.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| balthazar | Yes | 733.19 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 340 |
| Haradwaith | No | 149.65 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sanctions imposed on Manchester City FC by the independent Regulatory Commission for the breaches found in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case) are officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of the sanctions set by the independent Regulatory Commission will count, regardless of whether they are later appealed, including a decision that no sanction will be imposed. If sanctions are announced in stages, the first official announcement of any sanction will count. An announcement of the findings of breach without any corresponding sanction, reports or leaks of expected sanctions, and sanctions for any other matter will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/manchester-city-punishment-announced-by
| SuperTests |
| No |
| 119.6 |
| Honest-Housing | No | 117.39 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 100 |
| sunnynotbunny | No | 97.56 |
| Ma-sk | No | 90 |
| WatchTheTape | No | 65 |
| title1 | Yes | 58.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
