Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.3% on 9 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 3.3% on 9 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2024. $30.58K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 9 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2024 | 3.3% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RepublicOfChina | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of France Emmanuel Macron announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Emmanuel Macron to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g. due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Macron announces that he has or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/macron-resigns-before-august
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