Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 4% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2026. $60.83K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 4.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cosmic Kestrel 91AB | Yes | 13K |
| Crypto-Well | Yes | 9.17K |
| sE3p0 | Yes | 7.23K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Formal-Eveningwear | Yes | 3.15K |
| iamderkyi | Yes | 1.35K |
| MsIoi | Yes | 626.29 |
| Linkinger | Yes | 625 |
| GT2RShunter | Yes | 601.16 |
| Hangtouda | Yes | 523.33 |
| anton1233 | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
