Analytics
Yes is at 29%, down 51 points from 80% when the market opened on 19 Aug 2026.
Across the 68 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 7% on 9 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 27%; a month before, 12%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 61% on 3 Sep 2026.
$200M is the favourite of the 9 outcomes in “Linera FDV above ___ one day after launch?”, ahead of $300M at 28%.
$4.54K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $136.02, with a 32.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 92 trades, $475.73 bought Yes and $633.98 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 154 shares; the largest No position is gydmasg with 178.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 10:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 80.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 29.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gydmasg | No | 178.4 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 153.96 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 106.29 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Linera's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Linera after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Linera (https://x.com/linera_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/linera-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| vopita |
| No |
| 100 |
| Anjun | No | 55 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 38.45 |
| winexecutescale | Yes | 37.02 |
| HarryLoudini | Yes | 30 |
| chessplayer | No | 22 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 15.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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