Question 1

What is the “Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Lighter FDV above ___ one day after launch? (2026)”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($1.49M) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 70 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 83.7% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 2, 12:31 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/lighter-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
MrsPort	sell	Yes	99.9%	46	Dec 31, 11:51 PM
Rajna	sell	Yes

Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Lighter FDV above ___ one day after launch? (2026)

Questions about this market