Analytics
Yes is at 14.8%, up 3.8 points from 11% when the market opened on 24 Jan 2026.
The high was 22% on 2 Feb 2026 and the low 3.5% on 3 Mar 2026. A week ago Yes was at 15.5%; a month ago, 15.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 6% on 4 Feb 2026.
$7B ranks fifth of the 7 outcomes in “Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?”. $1B leads at 18.9%; $4B is at 18.5%.
$676.54 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $222.23, with a 17.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 31 trades, $7.18 bought Yes and $294.85 bought No.
The largest Yes position is TPredictions with 100 shares; the largest No position is XieGuangKun with 34. Ten wallets hold 59.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 7:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 248 points, 24 Jan 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | 11.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 14.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TPredictions | Yes | 100 |
| acal | Yes | 60.87 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 42 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ledger-ipo-closing-market-cap-above
| XieGuangKun |
| No |
| 34.06 |
| JakeBeez | Yes | 20 |
| Wealthy-Stepson | Yes | 20 |
| Appropriate-Suspenders | No | 20 |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes | 19.56 |
| parklsonstt | No | 12 |
| jgjjjj | No | 12 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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