Analytics
Yes is at 18%, down 41 points from 58.5% when the market opened on 5 Dec 2025.
Across the 310 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68% on 9 Dec 2025 and the lowest 16% on 8 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 19.5%; a month before, 26.5%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 65% on 8 Dec 2025.
It is one of 2 markets under “Lecornu out as French PM by...?”.
$100.78 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $28.28K since listing. The order book holds $14.79K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is meteortrex with 1K shares; the largest No position is Trashbag with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 60.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 310 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 58.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Trashbag | No | 1.11K |
| meteortrex | Yes | 1.05K |
| Flamboyant-Downforce-Trash | No | 961.14 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381
| revol | Yes | 896.52 |
| Poivre | Yes | 800 |
| StudentMoney | No | 680.89 |
| Machaon | Yes | 500 |
| 0x49F206 | Yes | 449 |
| MoonShootBets | No | 438.71 |
| flexibleagedbeef | No | 423 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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