Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 367 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 32.5% on 1 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 25 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 18% on 3 Jan 2025. $22.5K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 367 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 32.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 472 |
| ANudeEgg | No | 418.73 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 221.97 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lana Del Rey and/or Jeremy Dufrene announce their intention to divorce between December 29, 2024 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Lana Del Rey and/or Jeremy Dufrene or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lana-del-rey-divorce-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 189 |
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| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 89 |
| 2818 | Yes | 77.78 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
