Analytics
Yes is at 17.5%, down 33 points from 50% when the market opened on 23 Apr 2026.
Across the 183 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 23 Apr 2026 and the lowest 17% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 17.5%; a month before, 27%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 44.5% on 30 Apr 2026.
$4.46K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $467.91, with a 11.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 50 trades, $44.79 bought Yes and $586.02 bought No.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 250 shares; the largest No position is ArmageddonRewardsBilly with 493.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 183 points, 23 Apr 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 492.83 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 250 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 165.88 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lalit Modi officially announces the launch of a new mixed martial arts league by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official qualifying public announcement during 2026 will count for a “Yes” resolution regardless of when the new league launches. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lalit Modi; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lalit-modi-to-announce-mma-league-role-by-the-end-of-2026
| 4751346 | No | 160 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 110.35 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 105.26 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 81.2 |
| VirtualRem | No | 59.41 |
| cp-temcha | No | 40 |
| PPMT | Yes | 28.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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