Analytics
Yes is at 10%, down 23 points from 33% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 45% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 7% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 26% on 9 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Lai Ching-te visits US by...?”.
$48 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.75K since listing. The order book holds $10.57K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 62 trades, $203.23 bought Yes and $851.76 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 442 shares; the largest No position is 0xrc with 937.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 12:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 33.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 10.0% |
If Lai Ching-te visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Lai Ching-te physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Lai Ching-te enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lai-ching-te-visits-us-by
| PCMTest |
| Yes |
| 165 |
| UTILIZADOR2 | Yes | 50 |
| PGD1 | Yes | 50 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 20.1 |
| bigdihhh888 | Yes | 20 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 18 |
| Insecure-Statement | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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