Analytics
Yes is at 42.9%, up 31 points from 11.5% when the market opened on 9 Jun 2026.
Across the 141 daily closes on record from 9 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72% on 7 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 18 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 42.6%; a month before, 19.5%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 42.2% on 6 Jul 2026.
$1.09K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $126.57, with a 64.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 31 trades, $111.64 bought Yes and $345.56 bought No.
The largest Yes position is cocococococo with 295 shares; the largest No position is Gaujmalietis with 200.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 141 points, 9 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2026 | 11.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 42.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cocococococo | Yes | 295 |
| Gaujmalietis | No | 200 |
| bananabreakfast | No | 112.78 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred during the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court. Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count. A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occurred during the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/la-mayoral-election-court-rules-1st-round-fraudulent-20260607211804480
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 103.98 |
| TheHorrorsPersistButSoDoI | No | 101.78 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 54.51 |
| aviato | No | 20 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 20 |
| bechamel | No | 20 |
| Deep-Director | Yes | 14.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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