Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 500 | $0.100 | $22.25 | -$27.75 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | sell | 56.84 | $0.160 | $9.09 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 244.36 |
| $0.090 |
| $19.43 |
| -$2.57 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.200 | $11.75 | +$6.75 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 23.3 | $0.601 | $11.42 | -$2.58 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 308.34 | $0.180 | $11.25 | -$44.25 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 59.16 | $0.474 | $10.35 | -$17.7 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 91.67 | $0.240 | $10.08 | -$11.92 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 11 | $0.390 | $9.08 | +$4.79 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 61.21 | $0.564 | $8.88 | -$25.63 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 9.8 | $0.510 | $8.77 | +$3.77 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 110 | $0.400 | $8.25 | -$35.75 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 10.87 | $0.460 | $7.99 | +$2.99 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | Yes | 45.85 | $0.109 | $6.65 | +$1.65 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84.62 | $0.130 | $6.35 | -$4.65 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 124.83 | $0.264 | $5.62 | -$27.38 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 29.92 | $0.334 | $5.39 | -$4.61 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | $0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.530 | $4.95 | -$0.05 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.440 | $4.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 20.41 | $0.490 | $4.8 | -$5.2 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 37.82 | $0.227 | $4.73 | -$3.85 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | Yes | 48.23 | $0.104 | $4 | -$1 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 17.74 | $0.620 | $3.99 | -$7.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 25.65 | $0.212 | $3.98 | -$1.47 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 26.63 | $0.300 | $3.59 | -$4.41 |
| sell |
| 234.76 |
| $0.057 |
| $13.3 |
| 3d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 308.33 | $0.038 | $11.72 | 3d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 61.2 | $0.160 | $9.79 | 10d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | 22d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.78 | $0.180 | $2.12 | 24d ago |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | 24d ago |
 Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Japan by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | 24d ago |
 Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | 24d ago |
 Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the Philippines by August 31?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | 24d ago |
 Megaquake by August 31?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | 28d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | 28d ago |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.065 | $32.5 | 29d ago |
 Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | 29d ago |
 Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 107.6 | $0.110 | $11.84 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 14.04 | $0.234 | $3.28 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.88 | $0.240 | $3.33 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes | buy | 35.87 | $0.139 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Yes | buy | 45.85 | $0.109 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.370 | $4.11 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 70.46 | $0.581 | $40.94 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Graham Platner charged by August 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 137.5 | $0.050 | $6.88 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Macron out by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75.31 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Megaquake by July 31?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?Yes | buy | 27.95 | $0.107 | $3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 43.74 | $0.340 | $14.87 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Yes | buy | 48.23 | $0.104 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by June 30?Yes | buy | 26.74 | $0.037 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.28 | $0.096 | $3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |