Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 27% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 53 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 100% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 27% on 14 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 100% on 4 Mar 2026.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 1:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 7 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 27.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kang Sun-woo spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kang-sun-woo-in-jail-by-march-31
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