Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 18% on 18 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 18 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 66% on 28 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 37% on 25 Jun 2026. $884.74 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 4:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 18 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2026 | 18.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Amused-Stain | Yes | 140.24 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/john-ratcliffe-out-as-cia-director-by-july-31-20260616201221396
| Yes |
| 12.5 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 9.99 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| 64sdfs | Yes | 3.83 |
| 65sfds | No | 1.94 |
| Royal Harbor 217A | Yes | 0.01 |
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