Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.6%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 25 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 284 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 54.4% on 3 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.4% on 23 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 45.6% on 23 Sep 2025. $4.71K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 284 points, 25 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2025 | 20.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 11.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 161 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Jackson Hinkle (@jacksonhinklle) between March 24 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jackson-hinkle-indicted-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| diqieshan | Yes | 57.22 |
| ouxizhang | Yes | 57.14 |
| dangdengxian | Yes | 57.08 |
| Narcoins | Yes | 56.7 |
| dengzichen | Yes | 55.14 |
| kongyouzi | Yes | 53.33 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 45.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
