Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0.1%; no result has been reported.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026, the highest close was 42% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 26% on 28 Oct 2026.
Yashar 3%+ ranks sixth of the 9 outcomes in “Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory”. Likud 3%+ leads at 96.4%; Likud 2-3% is at 2.5%.
$360.22 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 112 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 427.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 11:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 42.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 427.08 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 112.35 |
| YourAnimeGirl | Yes | 80.17 |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891
| merod | Yes | 55 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| prizr | Yes | 28 |
| lava-lava | Yes | 25 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 20 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| coconono | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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