Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2026 to 1 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 5.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Apr 2026. $34.62K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 15, 11:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 1 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | 5.5% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by
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